Usmle practice test vs real score step 2ck12/15/2023 ![]() We anticipate that your actual performance on Step 2 CK will fall in the range of 233-261 about two-thirds of the time. Like prior NBMEs, the new Step 2 CK NBMEs (CCSSAs) appear to underpredict Step 2 CK scores on average That said, the NBME still gives us a rough estimate of the accuracy of the NBMEs.įor example, this student had a predicted score of 238 on CBSSA 11. Unfortunately, as noted above, the NBME stopped publishing granular breakdowns of the accuracy of the NBMEs. What About the Predictive Value of the Newest Step 2 CK NBMEs (CCSSAs) Here, we can see a < 1/3 chance your NBME will overpredict your Step 1 score. The likelihood that the final score is ≤ 21 lower than the last NBME within one week: The likelihood that the final score is ≤ 11 lower than the last NBME within one week: The likelihood that the final score is ≤ 1 lower than the last NBME within one week: We can do the same analysis for the likelihood that your score will be lower than predicted. (By comparison, many fewer Step 1 students will accomplish this feat). It implies that roughly 1 in 4 students will score at least 20 points higher on their actual test than predicted by the Step 2 CK NBME. Those statistics are pretty remarkable, particularly for Step 2 CK. The likelihood that the final score is ≥ 20 than NBME within one week: The likelihood that the final score is ≥ 10 than NBME within one week: The likelihood that the final score is equal/higher than the last NBME within one week: Here are some interesting statistics, according to the NBME’s data: Viewed side-by-side, Step 2 CK NBMEs likely underpredict your final score. Combined with the fact that there have usually been many fewer Step 2 CK practice tests than for Step 1, few exams lead to test anxiety than Step 2 NBMEs.Īctual Step 1 and Step 2 CK Scores Minus Score Predicted by NBME Within 1 Week of Exam Step 2 CK NBMEs Have Traditionally Underpredicted Final Scores (Often By a Lot) Step 2 CK Performance Is More Variable Than Step 1įor years, it’s been clear that NBME scores for Step 2 CK vary much more than those for Step 1. Comprehensive Clinical Science Self-Assessments (CCSSA) Forms 9, 10, 11, and 12įorms 9, 10, and 11 were introduced on July 28, 2021, and replaced Forms 6-8.What Can We Do to Maximize Our Step 2 CK Scores?Ĭurrently, there are four NBME practice exams for Step 2 CK. ![]() Why Is Step 2 CK Performance More Variable?.What About the Predictive Value of the Newest Step 2 CK NBMEs (CCSSAs).But Step 2 CK Scores Can Still Be Lower.Step 2 CK NBMEs Have Traditionally Underpredicted Final Scores (Often By a Lot).Step 2 CK Performance Is More Variable Than Step 1. ![]()
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